Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.213135 0.247894 0.286596 0.332898 0.386815 0.447653 0.521566
2025-03-02 0.152251 0.196416 0.250935 0.323265 0.416857 0.534093 0.692468
2025-03-09 0.126769 0.175626 0.240381 0.332652 0.461097 0.634092 0.885724
2025-03-16 0.107097 0.157208 0.227569 0.333834 0.490840 0.715208 1.061942
2025-03-23 0.093981 0.145026 0.220363 0.340027 0.526206 0.806322 1.262659
2025-03-30 0.080796 0.130331 0.206749 0.333695 0.540510 0.866287 1.422624
2025-04-06 0.070928 0.119130 0.196555 0.330548 0.558228 0.932260 1.599217
2025-04-13 0.063594 0.110881 0.189729 0.331467 0.581904 1.009704 1.803865
2025-04-20 0.059788 0.107986 0.191236 0.346358 0.630761 1.134879 2.107124
2025-04-27 0.055973 0.104502 0.191149 0.358146 0.675174 1.257061 2.420486
2025-05-04 0.052336 0.100823 0.190154 0.367926 0.716745 1.378532 2.747851
2025-05-11 0.048315 0.095881 0.186156 0.371348 0.746300 1.480393 3.049661
2025-05-18 0.043919 0.089766 0.179389 0.368884 0.764724 1.564397 3.330425
2025-05-25 0.039142 0.082309 0.169131 0.358141 0.765067 1.612441 3.543743
2025-06-01 0.037031 0.080074 0.169103 0.368559 0.810922 1.760009 3.991423
2025-06-08 0.034299 0.076165 0.165099 0.369871 0.837086 1.868498 4.366649
2025-06-15 0.032320 0.073646 0.163730 0.376742 0.876340 2.010268 4.837408
2025-06-22 0.029456 0.068783 0.156644 0.369716 0.882737 2.078308 5.142570
2025-06-29 0.027150 0.064927 0.151367 0.366224 0.896942 2.166057 5.507721
2025-07-06 0.025375 0.062109 0.148153 0.367244 0.922141 2.283016 5.962320
2025-07-13 0.024718 0.061922 0.151119 0.383768 0.987921 2.507461 6.725848
2025-07-20 0.023878 0.061177 0.152645 0.396850 1.046594 2.721361 7.491832
2025-07-27 0.022959 0.060121 0.153278 0.407705 1.100838 2.930637 8.275147